Peabody Energy Announces Results for the Quarter Ended June 30, 2010
- Quarterly EBITDA grows 35% over prior year to $440 million and operating profit increases 51% to $324 million
- EPS more than doubles to $0.76; adjusted EPS increases 38% to $0.69
- Revenues rise 24%, driven by a 93% increase in Australia revenues
- Australia EBITDA rises 75% to $224 million on higher volumes and pricing
- New five-year $2 billion credit facility completed, incurring $9.3 million in charges
- Raising midpoint of full-year EBITDA and EPS targets
St. Louis, July 20 – Peabody Energy today reported that second quarter 2010 EBITDA rose 35 percent over the prior year to $440.4 million. Income from continuing operations increased $124.7 million to $214.7 million. Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations was $0.76 compared with $0.32 in the prior year. Adjusted income from continuing operations rose 38 percent to $0.69 per share.
"Peabody delivered yet another quarter of outstanding results, with expanded margins and cash flows driven by both our Australia and U.S. mining operations," said Peabody Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Gregory H. Boyce. "Our global platform is expected to continue to capitalize on rising volumes and prices, and the continuation of our strong operating performance. We expect second half results to be stronger than the first."
RESULTS FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS
Second quarter 2010 sales volumes of 59.7 million tons were slightly ahead of prior-year levels, and included a 28 percent increase in Australia shipments. Revenues rose 24 percent to $1.66 billion, led by a $288.4 million increase in Australian revenues.
Quarterly EBITDA increased to $440.4 million, led by $149.2 million in higher contributions from mining operations. In the United States, EBITDA was $278.7 million compared with $225.4 million in the prior year. Improvements related to higher average realized prices in the Midwest and lower costs in the West that drove a 24 percent margin per ton expansion. Australian EBITDA reached $223.6 million on higher volumes and a nearly 50 percent increase in realized prices. Second quarter realized metallurgical coal prices increased 22 percent above the prior year, and realized export thermal coal prices rose 28 percent. Australian margins grew 42 percent to $34.69 per ton. Trading and Brokerage delivered $14.3 million of EBITDA compared with $35.5 million in the prior year, due to reduced market activity and the timing of transactions.
Operating profit increased 51 percent to $324.4 million, and operating profit per ton rose 50 percent to $5.43. Second quarter income from continuing operations rose 139 percent to $214.7 million and adjusted income from continuing operations totaled $195.4 million. Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations reached $0.76 compared with $0.32 in the prior year. Adjusted earnings per share rose 38 percent to $0.69.
Results included $9.3 million ($0.02 per share after tax) in refinancing charges related to a new five-year senior unsecured credit facility.
Compared with the first six months of 2009, year-to-date 2010 EBITDA rose 22 percent, operating profit increased 30 percent, and income from continuing operations rose 52 percent. Cash flow from operations totaled $456.4 million year to date, led by second quarter cash flow of $292.4 million.
During the quarter, Peabody also was recognized by Bloomberg BusinessWeek's "50 Top Performers" list, an annual ranking of the 50 best-performing companies in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index based on five-year total shareholder return.
GLOBAL COAL MARKETS AND PEABODY'S POSITION
International Markets
International markets continued to strengthen in the second quarter, led by rising imports in China, India and the recovering developed economies in Asia. As a result, Australian thermal coal prices are running more than 40 percent ahead of the prior year and are above the prices at the beginning of both the first and second quarters. And benchmark metallurgical coal prices for the third quarter have settled more than 12 percent above second quarter agreements.
- China's key statistics for the first six months of the year show power generation up 19 percent over 2009, with total exports of goods up 35 percent, steel production up 22 percent and vehicle sales up 48 percent.
- China's year-to-date net coal imports through June are estimated at 70 million tonnes, nearly double the 36.5 million tonnes in the comparable prior-year period. Peabody expects China net imports to set a record in 2010 given ongoing mine consolidation, rising domestic coal production costs, rail congestion, limited supplies of high quality hard coking coal, and rising electricity generation and steel mill capacity along the coast.
- India coal imports have increased 22 percent year to date. Coal imports for 2010 are estimated to increase 15 to 20 percent above 2009's 89 million tonnes.
- Other Asian nations such as Japan are expected to continue to rebound sharply from 2009 output. Japanese steel production is likely to rise more than 20 percent in 2010, while Japan's thermal coal imports through May are 13 percent above 2009 levels.
- Australia exports continued at a strong pace in the second quarter, with record shipments reached at the key Dalrymple Bay port in Queensland. Australian coal exports are running 15 percent above record 2009 levels.
- China and India are bringing nearly 68 gigawatts of new coal-fueled capacity on line in 2010. Combined with another 20 gigawatts of new generation beginning operation around the world, new coal plants represent approximately 340 million tonnes of annual coal demand.
Overall, thermal coal imports in the Pacific are expected to rise 10 to 12 percent in 2010, reaching the 500 million tonne mark for the first time. Atlantic thermal coal imports are expected to decline nearly 20 percent as both European and U.S. coal imports contract. Global metallurgical coal imports are expected to rise nearly 30 percent, to approximately 260 million tonnes.
U.S. Markets
The U.S. market recovery has continued to advance, with electricity generation up for seven straight weeks and coal inventories dropping at more than twice the five-year average pace over the past month.
- Coal continues to increase market share for electricity generation in 2010. Year to date, coal consumption by electricity generators is up 6 percent. Cooling degree days for the season are running an estimated 30 percent higher than the ten-year average.
- While coal demand is increasing, U.S. coal production is running an estimated 3 percent below 2009 levels.
- As a result, customer inventories of coal are now 8 percent below 2009 levels, and 17 percent lower than this time last year for Powder River Basin coal. The excess inventories at Central Appalachia plants are double those at Powder River Basin-sourced plants on a days-use basis.
- Improving industry fundamentals have led to higher coal prices. In the past year, coal prices have rebounded in all regions, including more than 40 percent for Powder River Basin coal and nearly 30 percent for Illinois Basin products.
In 2010, U.S. coal exports are expected to increase 11 to 13 million tons. In addition, domestic coal demand is expected to increase 60 to 80 million tons above 2009 due to a combination of the improving economy, new coal-fueled facilities, weather and approximately 20 million tons of coal-to-gas reversal. U.S. coal production is on pace to be 20 million tons lower than last year, leading to continuing reduction of inventories. At current utility operating rates, Powder River Basin inventories are expected to return to near-normal conditions by year end.
Peabody's Position
Australia volumes remain on track for 27 to 29 million tons in 2010, an increase of 21 to 30 percent from 22.3 million tons in 2009. Higher volumes reflect increasing production levels as well as the second quarter commencement of shipments through the new NCIG terminal, in which Peabody controls 18 percent. The new terminal provides the company with 5 to 6 million tons of additional throughput capacity annually.
The company is securing third quarter metallurgical coal pricing consistent with industry settlements. Unpriced metallurgical coal for the fourth quarter is approximately 2.5 million tons, while the company has 9 to 10 million tons available to price during 2011. Peabody has approximately 1 million tons of Australia thermal export volumes unpriced for the fourth quarter. The company has 9 to 10 million tons of Australian thermal export coal available for pricing during 2011.
In the United States, Peabody has approximately 10 to 15 percent of its planned 2011 production available to price, nearly one-third of which is committed. The company has 50 to 55 percent of its planned 2012 production available to price.
Peabody continues to advance its development of metallurgical and thermal coal projects with the goal of raising its Australian production platform to 35 to 40 million tons per year by 2014.
- Construction has begun on the Metropolitan Mine expansion in New South Wales to add 1 million tons per year of primarily low-cost, hard coking coal capacity by 2014. The mine accesses the seaborne markets via the unconstrained Port Kembla;
- Peabody is extending the life of the 2 to 3 million ton Burton metallurgical coal mine in Queensland. The project is substantially permitted and final mine planning is under way. Production is expected to commence in 2012;
- Permitting is under way to expand the Millennium Mine in Queensland to 3 to 3.5 million tons. Production of metallurgical coal from the expansion is anticipated in late 2011 with full production 2013 to 2014;
- Licensing and engineering are progressing for a 2 to 3 million ton thermal coal expansion at the low-cost Wilpinjong Mine by 2012 to 2013; and
- Mine plan and environmental impact analyses are under way for the planned expansion of the Wambo complex in New South Wales and the new high quality hard coking coal Denham Mine in Queensland.
Peabody's growing platform in Australia is supported by investments in logistical resources and increasing port access. In addition to Peabody's ownership participation in the new NCIG terminal, Peabody is also a member of the Queensland Coal Industry Rail Group, which is advancing a proposal to privatize the Queensland coal track network.
The company continues to advance its activities to expand its presence in Asia. During the second quarter, Winsway Coking Coal Holdings Ltd. replaced Polo Resources as Peabody's joint venture partner in Mongolia. Winsway is the leading importer of Mongolian coal into China. The new arrangement provides synergies to accelerate development of the joint venture's Mongolian assets, which include substantial coal resources and licenses.
In the United States, the company began shipping coal from its new Bear Run Mine in Indiana in May. Sales are expected to average 3 to 3.5 million tons in 2010, ramping up to 8 million tons by 2012.
OUTLOOK
Peabody is raising the midpoint of its 2010 earnings targets, with EBITDA now targeted to be $1.7 to $1.9 billion with adjusted earnings per share of $2.60 to $3.15, excluding currency remeasurement. Third quarter 2010 EBITDA is targeted to be $475 to $550 million with adjusted earnings per share of $0.75 to $1.00.
The company continues to target 2010 sales of 240 to 260 million tons, including U.S. production of 185 to 195 million tons and Australia production of 27 to 29 million tons.
Peabody Energy is the world's largest private-sector coal company and a global leader in clean coal solutions. With 2009 sales of 244 million tons and $6 billion in revenues, Peabody fuels 10 percent of U.S. power and 2 percent of worldwide electricity.